A landmark report by Backbase identifies six structural forces driving this change. These forces define what the platform calls the “bank of 2026.”
Equity Bank in Kenya has been one of the standout cases. The lender accounted for nearly 45 percent of the country’s small and medium enterprise loan disbursements in 2025, a feat powered by machine-learning credit models that analyze real-time transaction data from its digital merchant ecosystem, often disbursing capital in seconds without requiring traditional collateral or land titles. The approach has enabled thousands of small business owners, particularly women entrepreneurs, to access formal finance for the first time.
In Nigeria and South Africa, major Tier 1 banks have moved beyond AI pilot programs to deploying what the Backbase report terms ‘Agentic AI,’ systems capable of operating semi-autonomously across core banking functions from credit scoring to real-time customer identity verification. The report’s authors note that the differentiator in 2026 is no longer AI adoption itself, but the quality and depth of proprietary data each institution has assembled to make its AI systems effective.
Digital-first challenger banks are also scaling aggressively. South Africa’s TymeBank has reached sustained profitability. Nigeria’s Kuda has expanded across West Africa. Global investors are watching the continent with renewed attention, recognizing that Africa’s young, mobile-first population represents one of the largest untapped banking markets on earth. With 70 percent of the population under 30, legacy banks face existential pressure to match the user experience of digital-first rivals.
The UN Economic Commission for Africa warned this week, however, that the AI-driven financial revolution risks stalling without urgent investment in data center infrastructure and electricity generation. With less than 1 percent of global data centers located on the continent, Africa’s banks are running increasingly sophisticated AI systems on a foundation of infrastructure that remains dangerously thin. Closing that gap, the UN says, is now a matter of economic sovereignty
